Table of Contents

Tables, Figures, and Boxes
Preface
Introduction
I. INTRODUCTION TO TARGET-CENTRIC ANALYSIS
1. The Intelligence Process
2. Defining the Intelligence Problem
3. An Analysis Approach to the Target
4. The Analytic Spectrum
II. SYNTHESIS: CREATING THE MODEL
5. Overview of Models in Intelligence
6. Sources of Intelligence Information
7. Evaluating and Collating Data
8. Collection Strategies
9. Denial, Deception, and Signaling
III. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS
10. Analytic Methodologies
11. Prediction
12. Predictive Techniques
13. Shaping Forces
14. Organizational Analysis
15. Technology and Systems Analysis
16. The Intelligence Customer
17. Managing Analysis
Appendix I: A Tale of Two NIEs
Appendix II: Example Project Plan
Index
About the Author

About the Author

Robert M. Clark has more than five decades of U.S. intelligence community experience. A USAF lieutenant colonel (retired), Dr. Clark served as an electronics warfare officer and intelligence officer. At the CIA, he was a senior analyst and group chief responsible for developing analytic methodologies. He was cofounder and CEO of the Scientific and Technical Analysis Corporation, a privately held company serving the U.S. intelligence community. Clark holds an SB from MIT, a PhD in electrical engineering from the University of Illinois, and a JD from George Washington University. Beyond analyzing wicked intelligence issues, his passion is writing on the topic of intelligence. His books include Intelligence Analysis: A Target-Centric Approach (5th edition, 2016), The Technical Collection of Intelligence (2010), and Intelligence Collection (2014). He is coauthor, with Dr. William Mitchell, of Target-Centric Network Modeling (2015) and Deception: Counterdeception and Counterintelligence (2019); and coeditor, with Dr. Mark Lowenthal, of Intelligence Collection: The Five Disciplines (2015). Dr. Clark also develops and teaches courses for audiences in academia, national intelligence, and the military. He currently serves as an adjunct professor at the Johns Hopkins University teaching graduate courses.