1. The politics and economics of financial instability; 2. Banking crises, capital flows, and financial market structure; 3. Capital inflows, market structure, and banking crises: empirical evidence; 4. O Canada? Unraveling the mystery of Canadian bank stability; 5. Finanzplatz Deutschland: German bank stability and its decline; 6. Policy responses: what to do (and not to do) about financial instability.
International capital flow and domestic financial market structures explain why some countries are more vulnerable to banking crises.
Mark Copelovitch is Professor of Political Science and Public Affairs at the University of Wisconsin – Madison. He is author of The International Monetary Fund in the Global Economy: Banks, Bonds, and Bailouts. David A. Singer is Professor of Political Science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He is author of Regulating Capital: Setting Standards for the International Financial System.
'This book is really interesting, and potentially very important
for our understanding of crises and for public policy. Copelovitch
and Singer advance a thesis that is quite different, and
considerably more subtle, than the standard accounts of why
legislators tolerate fragile financial systems. This survives its
own tests. I hope others pick up the challenge.' Paul Tucker,
Harvard University
'The best scholarship in political economy combines macroeconomics
with a deep sense of its social and historical embeddedness.
Copelovitch and Singer's work is such a masterpiece … This book is
not only a brilliant empirical investigation, but also a compelling
history of the financial development of Canada and Germany. Anybody
interested in financial market stability, from regulators to
scholars and journalists, should read this work.' Mark Manger,
University of Toronto
'Copelovitch and Singer provide a compelling, comprehensive, and
well-written analysis of why some countries are prone to banking
crises while others are not. By demonstrating how the institutional
context and the availability of international capital jointly shape
banks' propensity to engage in risky behavior, this impressive book
makes an important and timely contribution to our understanding of
how globalization affects the stability of the world economy.'
Stefanie Walter, Universität Zürich
'Modern economic history is littered with banking crises that
devastate economies and polarize politics. In Banks on the Brink,
Mark Copelovitch and David Singer analyze the sources of these
crises. They argue that domestic financial-market conditions,
especially the role of securities markets, and international
capital flows are responsible for banking crises. Their careful
logic, statistical analyses, and detailed case studies make
compelling reading for anyone interested in the economics and
politics of finance.' Jeffry Frieden, Harvard University
'Much recent work on banking crises focuses on emerging market
economies in East Asia and Latin America. This timely book instead
asks why there are banking crisis in developed economies and what
policy-makers can do about them. As in the emerging market cases,
the authors find that capital flows from abroad are an important
potential trigger for banking crises. But what sets the developed
world apart is the potential use of such capital and the structure
of their financial systems, which are linked. As the case studies
for Canada and Germany indicate, banks in countries with
underdeveloped securities markets do not face pressure to channel
this 'hot' capital to risky uses. In countries with developed
security markets, however, risky behaviour is more likely, as are
then banking crises. The policy implications follow convincingly
from the analysis – address large current account deficits and
increase capital requirements. Anyone interested in understanding
crises and how to make them less frequent should read this book.'
Mark Hallerberg, Hertie School of Governance
'This book compares the two designs and focuses on financial market
disintermediation and the importance of cross-border capital flows
to explain the degree of financial instability in the two
countries. Key lessons (and a few surprises) are drawn from the two
cases for policy initiatives to contain damaging instability at
tolerable costs to financial efficiency and innovation.' I. Walter,
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