Table of Contents

Part 1: Business Case Analysis with R.- Chapter 1: A Relief from Spreadsheet Misery.- Chapter 2: Setting up the Analysis.- Chapter 3: Include Uncertainty in the Financial Analysis.- Chapter 4: Interpreting and Communicating Insights.- Part 2: It’s Your Move.- Chapter 5: "What Should I Do?".- Chapter 6: Use a Decision Hierarchy to Categorize Decision Types.- Chapter 7: Tame Decision Complexity by Creating a Strategy Table.- Chapter 8: Clearly Communicate the Intentions of Decision Strategies.- Chapter 9: What Comes Next.- Part 3: Subject Matter Expert Elicitation Guide.- Chapter 10: “What’s Your Number, Pardner?” .- Chapter 11: Conducting SME Elicitations.- Chapter 12: Kinds of Biases.- Part 4: Information Espresso.- Chapter 13: Setting a Budget for Making Decisions Clearly.- Chapter 14: A More Refined Explanation of VOI.- Chapter 15: Building the Simulation in R.- Appendix A: Deterministic Model.- Appendix B: Risk Model.- Appendix C: Simulation and Finance Functions.- Appendix D: Decision Hierarchy and Strategy Table Templates.- Appendix E: VOI Code Samples.- 

About the Author

Robert D. Brown III is the President of Incite! Decision Technologies LLC, a consultancy supporting senior decision makers facing complex, high-risk opportunities. These opportunities usually include strategic planning, project selection, planning & risk management, and project portfolio analysis & management.

Mr. Brown has devoted his 20-year career to providing solutions to his clients' complex problems by employing creative thinking and advanced quantitative business, engineering, and systems analysis. His client experience spans diverse industrial and commercial fields, including petroleum & chemicals, energy, utilities, logistics & transportation, pharmaceuticals, electronics manufacturing, telecommunications, IT, commercial real estate, federal agencies, and education. Through Incite, Mr. Brown delivers analysis, decision support tools and systems, and training in decision making and risk management with the goal of helping his clients measure the value and therisk associated with the important decisions they face in order to make informed trade-offs and choices. Incite provides "Moneyball" for businesses.

Mr. Brown graduated from the Georgia Institute of Technology in 1992 with a bachelor degree in mechanical engineering (co-op program) with an emphasis in control systems.