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CMT Level I 2020
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Table of Contents

Introduction ix The CMT Association ix The CMT Program x The Level I Textbook xii Section I Theory and History of Technical Analysis 1 Chapter 1 The Basic Principle of Technical Analysis-The Trend 3 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Chapter 2 Dow Theory 15 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Chapter 3 History and Construction of Charts 27 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Section II Charts, Trends, and Patterns 45 Chapter 4 Trends-The Basics 47 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Chapter 5 Breakouts, Stops, and Retracements 75 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Chapter 6 Moving Averages 97 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Chapter 7 Bar Chart Patterns 125 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Chapter 8 Short-Term Patterns 158 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Chapter 9 Confirmation 200 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Chapter 10 Candlestick Charting Essentials 242 Steve Nison Chapter 11 Point-and-Figure Charting 252 Perry J. Kaufman Section III Advanced Concepts in Charting and Trend Analysis 279 Chapter 12 Introduction to the Wave Principle 281 Wayne Gorman, Jeffrey Kennedy, and Robert R. Prechter, Jr. Chapter 13 The Anatomy of Elliott Wave Trading 299 Wayne Gorman, Jeffrey Kennedy, and Robert R. Prechter, Jr. Chapter 14 Measuring Market Strength 314 Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist Chapter 15 Foundations of Cycle Theory 347 Kyle Crystal, CMT, CFTe Chapter 16 Basics of Cycle Analysis 357 Kyle Crystal, CMT, CFTe Section IV Markets and Volatility 371 Chapter 17 Markets, Instruments, Data, and the Technical Analyst 373 Michael Kahn, CMT Chapter 18 Equities 376 Michael Kahn, CMT Chapter 19 Indexes 382 Michael Kahn, CMT Chapter 20 Fixed Income/Bonds 391 Michael Kahn, CMT Chapter 21 Futures 400 Michael Kahn, CMT Chapter 22 Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) 407 Michael Kahn, CMT Chapter 23 Foreign Exchange (Currencies) 412 Michael Kahn, CMT Chapter 24 Options 417 Michael Kahn, CMT Chapter 25 Understanding Implied Volatility 424 Russell Rhoads Chapter 26 About the VIX Index 436 Russell Rhoads Section V Behavioral Finance and Other Theories of Market Dynamics 451 Chapter 27 What is the Efficient Market Hypothesis? 453 Edwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah Chapter 28 The EMH and the "Market Model" 461 Edwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah Chapter 29 The Forerunners to Behavioral Finance 469 Edwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah Chapter 30 Noise Traders and the Law of One Price 474 Edwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah Chapter 31 Noise Traders as Technical Traders 482 Edwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah Chapter 32 Academic Approaches to Technical Analysis 492 Andrew W. Lo and Jasmina Hasanhodzic Chapter 33 Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis 507 Michael Carr, CMT, CFTe Chapter 34 Sentiment Measures from Market Data 511 Michael Carr, CMT, CFTe Chapter 35 Sentiment Measures from External Data 520 Michael Carr, CMT, CFTe Section VI Basic Statistics for the Technical Analyst 529 Chapter 36 Introduction to Descriptive Statistics 531 Jonas Elmerraji, CMT Chapter 37 Introduction to Probability 544 Jonas Elmerraji, CMT Section VII Perspectives on Technical Trading Systems 553 Chapter 38 Objective Rules and Their Evaluation 555 David Aronson Chapter 39 Being Right or Making Money 570 Ned Davis Chapter 40 The Model-Building Process 600 Ned Davis Chapter 41 Relative Strength as a Criterion for Investment Selection 615 Robert A. Levy Index 631

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