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Evidential Decision Theory
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Table of Contents

1. Introduction; 2. News Value; 3. Self-signalling; 4. Randomization; 5. Harmony; 6. Conclusion; Appendix A: Non-binary News Value; Appendix B: Randomization and Accuracy; Appendix C: Jeffrey-Bolker Representation Theorem.

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This Element introduces the only decision theory that really treats human decisions as part of nature, not supernatural interventions.

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