Table of Contents

List of Illustrations

Acknowledgements

Introduction

1. The Origins of Engagement

2. Rationales and Expectations

3. Politics: "The Party Leads Everything"

4. Economics: "A bird in a cage"

5. Strategy: "The great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation"

6. Getting China Right

Notes

About the Author

Aaron L. Friedberg is Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University. Over the past two decades he has written numerous books and articles warning of the dangers of an intensifying economic, military, and ideological rivalry between China and the West, including A Contest for Supremacy: China, America, and the Struggle for Mastery in Asia, Beyond Air-Sea Battle: The Debate Over U.S. Military Strategy in Asia, and Partial Disengagement: A New U.S. Strategy for Economic Competition with China. Follow him on Twitter @AaronFriedberg

Reviews

"Friedberg throws into sharp relief the flawed reasoning that justified the failed decades-long policy of engagement. He also clarifies those elements of China's conduct and its intellectual sources to which attention must be paid in getting China right."
—Peter Berkowitz, Real Clear Politics "Getting China Wrong is a concise, readable, and compelling look at the failure of United States' engagement with China. Written with expert knowledge and experience, it never strays into hyperbole or partisanship, and stands out from comparable titles by managing to be immensely reasonable yet still packing an unequivocal punch."
—Bookish Asia "As a piece of analysis, Getting China Wrong is first class. As a prescription for strategy, it is just a beginning. But it ought be read as widely as possible in Australia."
—Paul Monk, The Australian "Friedberg argues in crisp, compelling prose that it got most of its calculations of Chinese behaviour just plain wrong over the past 30 years."
—Rana Mitter, The Critic "...makes for chilling reading in the light of events in the Ukraine."
—Bloomberg "...a compact, well-argued critique of U.S. policy."
—Foreign Policy "This groundbreaking book chronicles the many misperceptions that American leaders have held about China in recent decades and subjects them to withering scrutiny ... an important milestone in redirecting American thinking about China."
—James Mann, author of The China Fantasy and About Face: A History of America's Curious Relationship with China "Aaron Friedberg delivers the definitive history of America's failed strategy of 'engagement' with the Communist regime in Beijing. But Friedberg doesn't abandon his readers in a cold bath of disillusionment: he illuminates a path towards a winning strategy for America and other free nations."
—Matt Pottinger, Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution and former US Deputy National Security Advisor "There is simply no better assessor of China's power and its consequences for the international order than Aaron Friedberg. This book should be used as an operating manual by everyone crafting US policy on how to deal with China."
—Kori Schake, Director of Foreign and Defense Policy at the American Enterprise Institute "In this careful and detailed study, Aaron Friedberg astutely explores how and why America's decades-long strategy of 'engagement' with China came asunder -- and he provides a clear and sophisticated policy roadmap for revamping US and Western policies in order to deal with a more assertive and potentially threatening China."
—David Shambaugh, George Washington University and author of China's Leaders: From Mao to Now "A telling account of how and why policy-makers, academics, and business embraced a form of engagement with China that proved to be a sincerely optimistic but hopelessly wrong gamble. A trenchant and accessible foray into the geopolitics of our time and our future."
—George Magnus, Research Associate, China Centre, University of Oxford and SOAS "I Getting China Wrong, Aaron Friedberg lays out a balanced and practical approach for managing relations with China. Most compellingly, he argues that liberal democracies must begin by taking their own side in this rivalry, making clear the stark differences of a future defined by the Chinese Communist Party. This book is essential reading for anyone seeking to navigate a multipolar world order."
—Admiral John Richardson, USN (Ret.), 31st Chief of Naval Operations "Friedberg's Getting China Wrong nails down half a century of mistaken American assumptions about China's future path. This essential non-partisan primer highlights the increasingly bold strategy of the Chinese Communist Party to defeat Western expectations."
—François Godement, Senior Advisor for Asia at Institut Montaigne, Paris "A decade ago, Aaron Friedberg courted unpopularity with A Contest for Supremacy, a book anticipating the imminent failure of engaging China at any price. His warnings were demonstrably worth heeding. Now in Getting China Wrong he makes the case that the United States and other democracies still underestimate the struggle ahead. But this is no counsel of despair: instead, Friedberg articulates a multi-layered action agenda, arguing that the best form of defense could well involve a willingness to impose costs."
—Rory Medcalf, Head of the National Security College, Australian National University, and author of Indo-Pacific Empire "A splendid book with deep insights into the nature of the Chinese Communist Party dictatorship and an urgent message about the need to uphold and expand the liberal international order in Asia."
—Nobu Kanehara, former Deputy National Security Advisor to PM Abe of Japan "The go-to explainer of the Chinese government and the challenge it poses to Western democracies ... Getting China Wrong makes a critical contribution to the debates over the nature of the CCP."
—Law and Liberty "Aaron Friedberg's Getting China Wrong examines the past few decades to understand how we got here. It is grim but essential reading."
—Free Beacon "A[n] immensely important look at China, Friedberg's book is an excellent analysis of what has got us into another Cold War."
—Sun News Austin