Introduction
History and Mythology
Déjà Vu All Over Again: A Short History of "Star Wars"
Anti-Missle Defense and the Political Maze
Two Views of the World
The Threat, and Efforts to Meet It
The Exaggerated Threat of Ballistic Missiles
Why National Missile Defense Won't Work
Other Proposed NMD Systems
International Consequences, and Policy Alternatives
Geopolitical Implications of National Missile Defense
Arms Control and Policy Alternatives
Appendix One: Countermeasures
Appendix Two: Waste, Fraud, and Abuse
Appendix Three: The Center for International Policy
CRAIG EISENDRATH is Senior Fellow with the Center for
International Policy, a foreign policy institute in Washington,
D.C., and a former U.S. Foreign Service Officer with expertise in
nuclear and outer space issues. His articles and commentary on
foreign affairs have appeared recently in the Bulletin of Atomic
Scientists, The Philadelphia Inquirer, The Baltimore Sun and other
publications. He is the editor of National Insecurity: U.S.
Intelligence After the Cold War (2000).
MELVIN A. GOODMAN is Professor of National Security at the National
War College and Senior Fellow at the Center for International
Policy. He is also an adjunct professor at American University and
Johns Hopkins University. He was a senior Soviet analyst at the
Central Intelligence Agency and the State Department from 1966 to
1986. He has authored three books on Russian foreign policy and is
editor of Lessons Learned: The Cold War (2001).
GERALD E. MARSH, a physicist at Argonne National Laboratory, was a
consultant to the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations on
strategic nuclear policy and technology for many years. He also
served with the U.S. START delegation in Geneva and is on the
editorial board of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. He is a
Fellow of the American Physical Society and has published widely in
the areas of weapons technology and foreign policy.
"A powerful and important book--timely, informed, and addressing a
critical and complex policy issue: Would deploying a national
missile defense strengthen, or weaken, U.S. security? No reader of
this book can fail to conclude it would not enhance our security to
pursue the phantom of national missile defense."-Raymond L.
Garthoff Ambassador of the United States The Brookings Institution,
Washington, D.C.
"A sober look at dangers that can be created when basic truths of
engineering and science are pushed aside by political ideology,
opportunism, and simple bad judgment."-Theodore A. Postol Professor
of Science, Technology, and National Security Policy Security
Studies Program and Program in Science, Technology, and Society
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
"A timely and important study which critiques the Bush
administration's case for accelerating the development of a
national missile defense (NMD). Its analysis and conclusions are
certain to be central to understanding the emerging national
security debate on the viability of such a system. In well-crafted
chapters, the authors argue that the threat from rogue states is
exaggerated, the diplomatic and political fallout underestimated,
and the scientific challenges depreciated by groups who stand to
benefit from lucrative government contracts. This comprehensive
assessment of the NMD issue--informative and insightful--is
essential reading for anyone interested in U.S. defense and foreign
policy."-Alvin Z. Rubinstein Professor of Political Science,
University of Pennsylvania
"An important contribution to the vigorous debate we must engage in
if we are to find the right answer to the critical question of
national missile defense."-Senator John F. Kerry
?Phantom Defense is a concise resume of the many reasons why
national defense is a defenseless priority and should remain at a
low simmer.?-Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
?Presents a partisan but powerful case, one that advocates of
national missile defense will be called upon to rebut. The outcome
of the debate matters, and not only because of the money at stake.
If the authors here are correct, deploying even an ineffective
missile defense will trigger a renewed arms race and jeopardize
rather than enhance U.S. security.?-Publishers Weekly
?Recommended for general readers, upper-division undergraduates and
above.?-Choice
?Testing possible NMD systems has already cost the nation billions
of dollars; perhaps before we decide to implement this technology,
voters and politicians need to consider the questions raised
here.?-Booklist
?That nationale for mutual "offense-only" deterrence animates a
very large literature that dates back to the dawn of the missile
age, to which The Phantom Defense is the latest substantial
contribution.?-American Political Science Review
?This volume provides a comprehensive domestic-political,
geopolitical, and technological assessment of the merits of
National Missile Defense (NMD).?-Political Science Quarterly
"Phantom Defense is a concise resume of the many reasons why
national defense is a defenseless priority and should remain at a
low simmer."-Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
"Recommended for general readers, upper-division undergraduates and
above."-Choice
"Testing possible NMD systems has already cost the nation billions
of dollars; perhaps before we decide to implement this technology,
voters and politicians need to consider the questions raised
here."-Booklist
"That nationale for mutual "offense-only" deterrence animates a
very large literature that dates back to the dawn of the missile
age, to which The Phantom Defense is the latest substantial
contribution."-American Political Science Review
"This volume provides a comprehensive domestic-political,
geopolitical, and technological assessment of the merits of
National Missile Defense (NMD)."-Political Science Quarterly
"Presents a partisan but powerful case, one that advocates of
national missile defense will be called upon to rebut. The outcome
of the debate matters, and not only because of the money at stake.
If the authors here are correct, deploying even an ineffective
missile defense will trigger a renewed arms race and jeopardize
rather than enhance U.S. security."-Publishers Weekly
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