Table of Contents

Preface
Acknowledgements
List of Figures and Tables
Introduction
Regulation, Prediction, and Assertions of Control
Research Strategy
Policy Interventions and Contextual Properties of Conflict: Models, Theories, Hypotheses, and Variables
Policy Interventions and the Regulation of Political Conflict
Political Conflict and Systemic Properties
Models of Regulation and Political Conflict
Models of Regulation: A Cybernetic Conceptualization
Static State and State Transition Behavior
Conceptualization and Measurement of Political Conflict
Conflict Dimensions, Constructs, and Operationalization
Units of Analysis, Levels of Analysis, and Aggregation Strategies in Conflict Research
The Conflict Episode
Data Description and Transformations
Archival Data Sources
Measurement of Change within Conflict Episodes
The Coercive Capacity/Deterrence Model
Estimation of the Coercive Capacity/Deterrence Model
Estimation of the Model: State Transition Measures
Change Amplitude, Coercive Capacity, and Political Conflict
Directional Change, Coercive Capacity, and Political Conflict
The Negative Sanctions Model of Regulation
Estimation of the Negative Sanctions Model: Static State Measures
Estimation of the Model: State Transition Measures
Change Amplitude Measures, Negative Sanctions, and Dimensions of Conflict
Directional Change Measures, Negative Sanctions, and Dimensions of Conflict
The Sanction Abatement Model of Conflict Regulation
Estimation of the Model: Static State Measures
Change Amplitude Measures, Sanction Abatement, and Dimensions of Conflict
Directional Change Measures, Sanction Abatement, and Dimensions of Conflict
Intervention Strategies and Emerging Models of Conflict Regulation
From Error Control to Cause Control: The Effective Regulation of Political Conflict
Regulatory Patterns within Three Models
Appendix A. Dimensions of Conflict Episodes
Appendix B. Multicollinearity Tests and Results
Appendix C. Heteroscedasticity Tests and Results
Name Index
Subject Index
About the Author

About the Author

EDUARD A. ZIEGENHAGEN is Professor of Political Science and Research Fellow at the Center for Leadership Studies at the State University of New York at Binghamton. He is the author of four books including The Regulation of Political Conflict (Praeger, 1986) and (with K. Koutsoukis) Political Conflict in Southern Europe (Praeger, 1992).