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Risk Analysis and Management


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Table of Contents

Introduction, overview and acknowledgements.- Introduction to risk analysis and risk management processes.- Introduction to database analysis of terroristic events.- More elaborate database analysis.- Event analysis: initial situation and hazard source.- Hazard propagation I: Explosions.- Hazard source characterization and propagation II: fragments.- Hazard propagation III: Free field blast and complex blast: empirical-analytical expressions and scaled experiments.- Mathematical basics for damage analysis.- Damage Analysis I: Probit functions and probability distributions.- Damage Analysis II: Selection of distributions and determination of parameters.- Damage analysis III: Presented surfaces.- Risk computation and visualization.- Simple examples of risk analysis.- Risk analysis in an example of harbor security.- Risk acceptance criteria.- Further Reading: Risk assessment, evaluation and communication.- Mitigation measures

About the Author

Ivo Haring received a PhD in physics at the Max-Planck-Institute for Complex Systems (MPIPKS) from the Technical University Dresden (TUD). Since 2004 he works at the Fraunhofer Ernst-Mach-Institute (EMI), Germany; currently as deputy head of the department Safety Technologies and Protective Structures, head of the group Resilience Engineering and as senior scientist for the Safety and Efficiency Analysis group, the Reliable Systems group and the Hazard and Risk Analysis group. Areas of interest include: qualitative and quantitative risk and resilience analysis, engineering, management, and optimization; system modelling, analysis, engineering and numerical simulation; technical reliability and safety analysis of multi-domain systems including software and networks; and software application and 3D expert tool development. In these areas he contributed to the scientific work program, execution and dissemination of multiple national and EU funded research projects, in particular with the aims of risk control, susceptibility and vulnerability reduction as well as resilience enhancement. The results have been documented in many (conference) articles and used for lectures within safety and security engineering degree programs and continuous academic courses for resilient technical systems. He is member of the editorial board of the European Journal for Security Research (EJSR).

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